[identity profile] nvidia99999.livejournal.com posting in [community profile] davis_square
[Poll #1512191]

Given the recent hysteria about the upcoming election ( http://www.boston.com/news/local/breaking_news/2010/01/coakley_underes.html ), do you think Brown will win?
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Date: 2010-01-16 05:13 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizzielizzie.livejournal.com
And by "NO" I mean "Dear god I hope not!" Not that I am thrilled at voting for Martha...

Date: 2010-01-16 08:04 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arrowintwolakes.livejournal.com
I protest that there is no third option.

Date: 2010-01-16 02:06 pm (UTC)
zdenka: Miriam with a tambourine, text "I will sing." (this is my truth)
From: [personal profile] zdenka
No, but I'm still voting for him.

Date: 2010-01-16 02:35 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lizzielizzie.livejournal.com
She does nothing to inspire me. Nothing at all. Her campaign has been lackluster at best. I feel like only voting for her to keep the other guy out of office, and I'm not happy about it.

Date: 2010-01-16 02:49 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] obstruksion.livejournal.com
Joe Kennedy doesn't qualify?

Re: Same here...

Date: 2010-01-16 03:21 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] zaarwin-devolve.livejournal.com
If nothing else, he'd have been (semi-)forced to head out to central and western MA to get his name out there and press a little flesh. Martha, meanwhile, apparently decided that the election was just an annoying formality. I don't think I've ever seen a candidate come off as so brazenly aloof and arrogant. (Okay, maybe Bush, but even his handlers knew he needed to sell that phony "everyday folk" image that people love.)

Date: 2010-01-16 03:58 pm (UTC)
From: [personal profile] ron_newman
Why?
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_mattt/
I have been following the numbers very closely online. Coakley's own internals now show her down 3 points, which is very bad.

Brown's campaign was a sneak attack on sleeping liberals.

And really Martha Coakley never did anything to get us involved. Have you seen a single bumper sticker in Somerville or Cambridge? Was anyone here ever contacted by her campaign? I cannot tell you how many liberals I contacted who were surprised that there was even an election on January 19, or who simply stated they were too disinterested or busy to vote?

There was an ulterior motive behind my "non-partisan" reminders about absentee ballots.

The ARG poll came out last night, pretty much confirming the results of the Suffolk poll and Martha Coakley's own internals. Anything can happen between now and Monday. Voters may have some remorse over Scott Brown between now and then, but it appears that everything Martha Coakley does backfires. Whatever she does now is likely too little too late.

I think it is now more likely than not that we will have Sen. Brown. My bet was a 49/49/2 split, with Brown coming out ahead. I think it is a powerful reminder for liberals to never fall asleep and take something for granted. The good news? This seat warmer's there only for 2+ years, and he goes up for reelection with Obama on the top of the ballot.

Lots of similarities between Brown and Bush

Date: 2010-01-16 04:19 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_mattt/
The advertisements, the charade duping people into believing he is an independent.

If Coakley had not stopped campaigning for a month, and had defined Brown for what he is (another Bush) instead of letting Brown define himself, she wouldn't have this problem. It's too little too late for her, I fear.

I don't think Capuano would have taken things for granted. Perhaps he'll run against Brown in 2012?

Just look at this turkey with the George Bush shirt (from CNN ad):
Image
Edited Date: 2010-01-16 04:20 pm (UTC)

I only hope you're right

Date: 2010-01-16 04:23 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_mattt/
But the people I talked to are dead set on this guy as the only way to stop Obamacare, restore balance in government, blah blah blah. Remember, we elected GOP governors for 16 years. Watch for the Rasmussen poll on Sunday night, or another Globe poll.

Date: 2010-01-16 05:04 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] genesayssitdown.livejournal.com
god i hate politicians

Politics 101

Date: 2010-01-16 05:09 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_mattt/
If you don't define your opponent, they will define you.

We saw this with Kerry in 2004, and Dukakis in 1988.

It's pretty sad to watch such an implosion. I already voted for her, and I hope for a miracle on Tuesday night.
Edited Date: 2010-01-16 05:14 pm (UTC)

Old right wing tactic

Date: 2010-01-16 05:13 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_mattt/
Despite their hatred for the "liberal media", it is a well known, age-old right wing Internet tactic to flood newspaper comments. Just like yard signs are more of a GOP phenomenon.

These stories of a Brown surge from the Globe are being circulated on right wing sites, which pulls them in from all over the country, exacerbating the effect.

Their intent is to try and disillusion any reader of the article and instill despair. That's how they work. Also, think about the kind of people who would do that, and tell me they aren't listening to talk radio in their pajamas.

Date: 2010-01-16 05:47 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arrowintwolakes.livejournal.com
In the poll. That the poll has no third option.

Re: Lots of similarities between Brown and Bush

Date: 2010-01-16 05:49 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arrowintwolakes.livejournal.com
Ha, I love the use of "turkey" in that sentence.

New GOP Slogan?

Date: 2010-01-16 05:54 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] arrowintwolakes.livejournal.com
Instilling despair: this is what we do.

My new favorite slogan?

Date: 2010-01-16 06:20 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_mattt/
Vote Democrat and get disappointed. Vote Republican and get f***ed.

Date: 2010-01-16 06:40 pm (UTC)
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